
The Iran war is "testing the resilience of the global economy," and is set to dampen economic growth this year, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said in a report released on Thursday.
Global growth is forecast to slow to 2.9% this year before edging back up to 3.0% in 2027, according to the OECD.
The unpredictable trajectory of the Middle East conflict was driving up costs and dampening demand, offsetting the positive impetus from investment in new technologies and the momentum carried over from the previous year, it said.
The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and damage to energy infrastructure had caused a sharp rise in energy prices and disrupted supplies of other key materials such as fertilizer, according to the OECD.
The scale and duration of the conflict were highly uncertain, but a prolonged period of higher energy prices would significantly increase costs for businesses and consumer prices, with negative consequences for growth, the OECD said.
The "evolving conflict [...] generates significant uncertainty around global demand," it said.
In the US, growth is expected to slow from 2.0% this year to 1.7% next year, the OECD forecast, as strong investment in artificial intelligence is gradually offset by a slowdown in income growth and consumer spending.
In the eurozone, the OECD expects growth to slow to 0.8% this year before recovering to 1.2% in 2027, boosted by higher defence spending.
In China, growth is projected to fall to 4.4% in 2026 and 4.3% in 2027.
The conflict was also weighing on the growth of the German economy, which the OECD said would grow by only 0.8% this year - 0.2 percentage points less than forecast in its previous economic outlook in December.
Growth of 1.5% is still expected for 2027, unchanged from the previous forecast.
latest_posts
- 1
Dave Coulier reveals he has tongue cancer, his 2nd diagnosis in a year, after beating non-Hodgkin lymphoma - 2
Meet ‘NASA Mike,’ who’s done 105,000 handstands around the world - 3
The Best Computer games for Multiplayer Fun - 4
German police 'cleared path for fascists with batons,' protesters say - 5
10 Picturesque Campgrounds That Will Raise Your Outside Involvement with American
Instructions to Clean and Really focus on Your Lab Precious stone
Winter storm headed for Midwest to Northeast. Here's how much snow to expect.
Dominating the Mastercard Endorsement Cycle: Six Fundamental Stages
Why this Iranian island looks like Mars after it rains
Israel strikes Beirut amid rocket fire from Hezbollah and Iran
These Are the Journalists Israel Has Killed Since the Start of the Iran War
I’m a neuroscientist who taught rats to drive − their joy suggests how anticipating fun can enrich human life
Artemis II astronauts arrive at Florida launch site for first moon trip in 53 years
I'm 18 and founded an AI startup. I have to wake up at 3 a.m. to work on it before school, but it's worth every sleepless night.












